Coffee Report - Somar Meteorologia
Edition 2010
Analysis from: 26-07-2010.
Valid from 26-07-2010 to 05-08-2010
"Cold front moves by the ocean"
Table 1: Current Weather (25-07):
Temperature (°C)
PAR SSP MOG CER SMG1 SMG2 ZMG ZES VC
MN | | | | | | | 16 16
MX 26 29 27 26 20 ND ND 25 20
Unchecked data from airport reports
Forecast:
During this week, a cold front moves across the ocean, bringing increasing of clouds and some light rains to the eastern portions of the Southeast. In the coffee belt, the cloudiness increases, but no significant rain is expected, except for showers along the coast of Espirito Santo. Again, we will have no significant drop in temperatures, since the polar air mass that comes with this system moves away from the ocean without getting the coffee producing belt. Until the end of the month there is no forecast of rain or significant fall of temperatures in the coffee growing regions of Brazil.
Click to see the Precipitation Forecast to the next 15 days
Table 2: WEATHER/RAINFALL(mm) IN COFFEE REGIONS:
Region 26-07 27-07 28-07 29-07 30-07
PAR | | | | |
SSP | | | | |
MOG | | | | |
CER | | | | |
SMG1 | | | | |
SMG2 | | | | |
ZMG | | | | |
ZES PI-1 PI-1 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
AL PN-0 PI-1 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
VC PI-2 PN-0 PI-2 EN-0 NB-0
CA PN-0 CC-0 CC-0 PN-0 PN-0
CC ==> Sky Clear; NB ==>Cloudy; PN ==> Partly Cloudy; EN ==> Overcast; PC ==> Showers; PI ==> Scattered Showers; CV ==> Drizzle; CH ==> Rain
Legend:
PAR - Northern Parana; SSP - Southwestern Sao Paulo; MOG - Mogiana region; CER - Cerrado region; SMG1 - Southern Minas Gerais (Pocos de Caldas region); SMG2 - Southern Minas Gerais (Varginha region); ZMG - Zona da Mata of Minas Gerais; ZES - Zona da Mata of Espirito Santo; AL - Alegre(ES); VC - Vitória da Conquista; CA - Cacoal(coffee areas of Rondonia)
Table 3: LOWS TEMP/FROST PROBABILITY:
Region 26-07 27-07 28-07 29-07 30-07
PAR | | | |
SSP | | | |
MOG | | | |
CER | | | |
SMG1 | | | |
SMG2 | | | |
ZMG | | | |
ZES 16-NO 20-NO 20-NO 18-NO 17-NO
VC 15-NO 14-NO 15-NO 14-NO 13-NO
NO ==> No Frost; LOW ==>Low Probabily; HIGH ==> High Probability; WARN ==> Warning
Table 4: OBSERVED DAILY RAINFALL AND TOTAL/NORMAL IN THE JULY
Region 23 24 25 Total Mean Dev.(%)
PAR | | | | | |
SSP | | | | | |
MOG | | | | | |
CER | | | | | |
SMG1 | | | | | |
SMG2 | | | | | |
ZMG | | | | | |
ZES 0 0 2 103 45 126
AL 0 0 3 74 33 127
VC 0 0 0 16 29 -46
CA 0 0 0 4 12 -67
Attention:
Each data above is the accumulated rainfall in the last 24 hours, collected from official meteorological stations, at 12:00 GMT (9:00 am local time) of the day. That values are interpolated to a grid point format, and indicates the mean rainfall of each region.
EXTENDED FORECAST:
In early August, another cold front arrives coffee producing belt, around August, 4th, with best chances of rain in Parana and Sao Paulo. This cold front is accompanied by a polar air mass that will favor a fall of temperatures between August, 5th and 6th. Because it is a very extended forecast, we will keep monitoring it and in the next bulletins we'll update the information, because many changes may occur in relation to the intensity and displacement of the cold air mass.
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By Marcio Custodio, Forecast Operating Director

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