Coffee Report - Somar Meteorologia
Edition 2010
Analysis from: 29-07-2010.
Valid from 29-07-2010 to 08-08-2010
"Clouds increases over coffee belt"
Table 1: Current Weather (28-07):
Temperature (°C)
PAR SSP MOG CER SMG1 SMG2 ZMG ZES VC
MN 15 17 17 19 ND 14 13 18 ND
MX 25 28 26 27 20 24 27 26 23
Unchecked data from airport reports
Forecast:
A cold front follows it progress across the ocean, but it only takes rain to the coastal areas of Southeast. In areas further inland, there is only increase in cloud cover, except for some very isolated and light rain in eastern portions of Minas Gerais and Espirito Santo. In coming days, there is no forecast of a significant drop in temperatures in coffee producing areas.
Click to see the Precipitation Forecast to the next 15 days
Table 2: WEATHER/RAINFALL(mm) IN COFFEE REGIONS:
Region 29-07 30-07 31-07 01-08 02-08
PAR CC-0 PN-0 PN-0 CH-6 CH-15
SSP PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PC-1
MOG PN-0 NB-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
CER PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 CC-0 CC-0
SMG1 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
SMG2 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
ZMG PI-1 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
ZES PI-1 PN-0 PI-1 PN-0 PN-0
AL PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0 PN-0
VC PN-0 NB-0 NB-0 PN-0 EN-0
CA CC-0 PN-0 CC-0 PN-0 NB-0
CC ==> Sky Clear; NB ==>Cloudy; PN ==> Partly Cloudy; EN ==> Overcast; PC ==> Showers; PI ==> Scattered Showers; CV ==> Drizzle; CH ==> Rain
Legend:
PAR - Northern Parana; SSP - Southwestern Sao Paulo; MOG - Mogiana region; CER - Cerrado region; SMG1 - Southern Minas Gerais (Pocos de Caldas region); SMG2 - Southern Minas Gerais (Varginha region); ZMG - Zona da Mata of Minas Gerais; ZES - Zona da Mata of Espirito Santo; AL - Alegre(ES); VC - Vitória da Conquista; CA - Cacoal(coffee areas of Rondonia)
Table 3: LOWS TEMP/FROST PROBABILITY:
Region 29-07 30-07 31-07 01-08 02-08
PAR 15-NO 17-NO 16-NO 18-NO 14-NO
SSP 16-NO 16-NO 17-NO 16-NO 17-NO
MOG 17-NO 17-NO 15-NO 14-NO 15-NO
CER 16-NO 16-NO 14-NO 13-NO 14-NO
SMG1 10-NO 11-NO 9-NO 8-NO 9-NO
SMG2 12-NO 12-NO 11-NO 9-NO 9-NO
ZMG 13-NO 12-NO 11-NO 11-NO 12-NO
ZES 19-NO 18-NO 16-NO 15-NO 16-NO
VC 14-NO 12-NO 12-NO 12-NO 13-NO
NO ==> No Frost; LOW ==>Low Probabily; HIGH ==> High Probability; WARN ==> Warning
Table 4: OBSERVED DAILY RAINFALL AND TOTAL/NORMAL IN THE JULY
Region 26 27 28 Total Mean Dev.(%)
PAR 0 0 0 27 54 -49
SSP 0 0 0 35 35 0
MOG 0 0 0 2 16 -87
CER 0 0 0 0 11 -99
SMG1 0 0 0 13 25 -49
SMG2 0 0 0 17 19 -10
ZMG 0 0 0 18 24 -27
ZES 0 0 0 103 45 126
AL 0 0 0 74 33 127
VC 6 2 8 31 29 6
CA 0 0 0 4 12 -67
Attention:
Each data above is the accumulated rainfall in the last 24 hours, collected from official meteorological stations, at 12:00 GMT (9:00 am local time) of the day. That values are interpolated to a grid point format, and indicates the mean rainfall of each region.
EXTENDED FORECAST:
In early August, another cold front arrives at the coffee producing belt, with better chances of rain in Parana and Sao Paulo. The associated polar air mass remains just to south of coffee belt. In August 4th, another cold front will move by the South and Southeast Brazil, followed by another cold wave. This new polar air mass is weaker than first, but may bring a significant fall of temperatures in the South and in parts of Southeast, between the August, 6th and 8th. Despite the drop in temperatures, we don't see any risk of frost formation, but we will keep watching the extended models, since them are changing much from one day to another.
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By Marcio Custodio, Forecast Operating Director

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